Navigating China’s Aluminium Market: Trends, Production, and Technical Outlook

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The aluminium market holds a significant place in the global economy, with its wide array of applications ranging from construction to transportation. In this article, we delve into the nuances of the aluminium market in China, spotlighting the recent 0.75% increase in aluminium prices and what it signifies for businesses and investors alike.

Section 1: Influence of China’s Economic Measures

China’s strategic economic support measures have played a pivotal role in bolstering aluminium prices. These initiatives have created a conducive environment for the metal’s demand to flourish, ultimately contributing to its price increase. The robust demand in the market further underscores the vitality of aluminium in various industrial sectors.

Section 2: China’s Industrial Growth and its Impact on Aluminium

The aluminium industry has directly benefited from China’s industrial prosperity, with industrial profits witnessing a commendable increase for the second consecutive month. This positive trajectory signals a stabilizing economy, which is paramount for industries reliant on aluminium. Furthermore, the approval of 1 trillion yuan in bonds aimed at aiding disaster-stricken regions is poised to amplify the demand for aluminium, particularly in construction projects.

Section 3: Aluminium Production in China

In September 2023, China’s domestic aluminium production reached an impressive 3.523 million metric tons, marking a 5.5% increase compared to the previous year. This growth is a testament to the industry’s resilience and capacity to meet growing demands. The steady operations of aluminium billet plants and downstream enterprises, alongside strategic adjustments in alloying ratios, have contributed to this upward trend. Additionally, the expansion of aluminium operating capacity, primarily through capacity transfer projects in regions like Yunnan and Guizhou, has played a crucial role in bolstering production levels.

Section 4: Technical Analysis and Market Predictions

From a technical standpoint, the aluminium market has undergone short covering, resulting in a decrease in open interest by -1.67%, while prices saw an increment of 1.55 rupees. This scenario sets the stage for potential price movements, with support anticipated at 205.8 and resistance likely at 207.6. A breach of these levels could lead to further price tests, providing valuable insights for market participants.


In summary, the aluminium market in China is a complex landscape, influenced by economic measures, industrial growth, and technical factors. This article has endeavored to provide a comprehensive analysis of these elements, offering businesses and investors the insights needed to navigate this dynamic market. As the industry continues to evolve, staying abreast of these trends will be paramount for those looking to make informed decisions in the realm of aluminium.

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